Remember the LORD for it is he who gives you the ability to produce wealth and so confirms his covenant... Deut. 8:18

Friday, July 10, 2009

S&P500 Head/Shoulders Projection

A head-and-shoulders pattern is developing in the chart of the S&P 500. This is a bearish pattern and indicates the reversal from a bull trend to a bear trend.
You can calculate the projected move by taking the difference between the top of the head (950) and the neckline (880) and subtracting it from the neckline. (Here's how the math works: 950 minus 880 equals 70. Then 880 minus 70 equals 810.)
So if the index drops below the neckline, the intermediate bear trend is in force, and the pattern projects a move all the way down to 810.
The S&P came close to breaking the neckline. But the bulls were ready to defend that level vigorously. And we were unlikely to see the chart break down on the first attempt. Instead, the S&P will probably bounce and form a lower high before it finally rolls over and completes the pattern.
The sector that looks most vulnerable is the financials (Jeff Clark's play)…

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